# ARR Dashboard Overstatement

Synthetic public proof memo for Forecast Integrity Partners.

## Visible claim

Board-facing ARR looked clean and stable.

## Discovered defect

The dashboard mixed account grain, subscription grain, opportunity status, and renewal logic. Expansion revenue could be counted at close and again when the renewed subscription became active.

## Executive risk

Leadership may overstate recurring revenue, overhire, misread retention, or present a valuation story that cannot survive diligence.

## Recommended action

Freeze the dashboard for board, hiring, or valuation use until ARR is reconciled from contract-level source records with explicit owner, definition, grain, exclusions, and test evidence.

## Likely paid path

Analytics Debt Ledger when one ARR dashboard or metric family needs fast paid proof.