# Board Forecast Fragility

Synthetic public proof memo for Forecast Integrity Partners.

## Visible claim

The board forecast looked ready for executive presentation.

## Discovered defect

The model depended on hidden overrides, stale drivers, weak downside cases, manually pasted actuals, and assumptions that were no longer tied to owned business logic.

## Executive risk

A confident board narrative can be built on fragile logic. Hiring, budget, runway, revenue commitments, and investor confidence can all be distorted.

## Recommended action

Identify hardcoded assumptions, isolate manual overrides, test downside sensitivity, and reconcile the forecast to source actuals before the board package is treated as decision-ready.

## Likely paid path

Analytics Debt Ledger for one forecast or board package, or a hidden Board-Ready Sprint if the deadline is inside 7 to 10 business days.