Experience

The experience behind the judgment.

Client work is confidential, so this page describes what I’ve done and why it matters for your decision, rather than who it was for.

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Life sciences

Forecasting where uncertainty and commercial value collide.

Capital decision support

Forecast simulation for a $1B+ pharmaceutical acquisition

I designed scenario and simulation analysis spanning commercial, rollout, market, baseline, and upside assumptions to support the evaluation of a pharmaceutical acquisition valued above $1 billion.

Why it matters for you: the case needed interacting scenarios and explicit uncertainty rather than one deterministic forecast. The same discipline applies to launches, sales-force choices, licensing, and portfolio decisions.

Scientific discipline

Ten years of biostatistics

A decade of biostatistical analysis and evidence interpretation before my later work in enterprise analytics, data science, commercial modeling, and forecasting.

Why it matters for you: life-sciences forecasts mix uncertain evidence with business judgment. A good model keeps statistical confidence, commercial judgment, and decision confidence clearly separate.

Commercial analytics and technology

Years inside the systems that turn data into forecasts.

Microsoft, Netflix, Oracle, Yahoo, Tableau, SAS

Senior work across enterprise data, commercial analytics, retention and lifetime-value modeling, forecasting, analytics products, and executive decision support.

Forecasting capabilities in Tableau

Translating forecasting methods and analyst needs into product capabilities people could use inside their normal analytical workflow.

Teaching and presenting

Princeton, Booth, Brown, the University of Washington, INFORMS, AMA, and TDWI.

Decision-oriented modeling

Connecting model outputs to commercial choices, operating assumptions, and executive action, rather than treating forecasting as an isolated statistical exercise.

Next step

Have a decision coming up? Let’s talk it through.

Send me a few non-confidential sentences about the decision and when it lands. I’ll reply personally with an honest read on whether I can help, and the smallest scope that would.

Talk through a forecast See a sample review