Real Work + briefings

See how high-stakes life-sciences forecasts are built, challenged, and used.

Real Work uses synthetic data built on realistic engagement patterns. The briefings isolate one forecasting problem at a time. No client data.

Real Work series

Start with the $1B acquisition case.

Free self-check

The seven-question readiness test

Score your own forecast in about two minutes. Your answers stay in your browser.

Take the test

Coming next: the project flow, model architecture, new analysis results, decision thresholds, and selected techniques behind the screen. Synthetic data only. Follow along with the RSS feed.

Forecast discipline

Short briefings on the mechanics behind defensible forecasts.

Next step

Have a decision coming up? Let’s talk it through.

Send me a few non-confidential sentences about the decision and when it lands. I’ll reply personally with an honest read on whether I can help, and the smallest scope that would.